Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.003435 0.003828 0.004238 0.004696 0.005192 0.005713 0.006300
2024-10-13 0.002921 0.003489 0.004112 0.004843 0.005674 0.006586 0.007658
2024-10-20 0.002459 0.003098 0.003827 0.004713 0.005756 0.006937 0.008367
2024-10-27 0.002165 0.002853 0.003666 0.004685 0.005918 0.007350 0.009124
2024-11-03 0.001906 0.002621 0.003490 0.004611 0.006000 0.007649 0.009735
2024-11-10 0.001720 0.002457 0.003379 0.004597 0.006140 0.008008 0.010412
2024-11-17 0.001549 0.002296 0.003256 0.004553 0.006231 0.008298 0.011002
2024-11-24 0.001459 0.002233 0.003251 0.004654 0.006501 0.008810 0.011871
2024-12-01 0.001301 0.002064 0.003093 0.004543 0.006487 0.008956 0.012277
2024-12-08 0.001198 0.001963 0.003018 0.004534 0.006601 0.009263 0.012888
2024-12-15 0.001163 0.001957 0.003074 0.004701 0.006950 0.009879 0.013906
2024-12-22 0.001099 0.001903 0.003055 0.004764 0.007156 0.010309 0.014687
2024-12-29 0.001058 0.001883 0.003088 0.004902 0.007475 0.010904 0.015709
2025-01-05 0.001023 0.001870 0.003129 0.005053 0.007817 0.011535 0.016793
2025-01-12 0.000915 0.001733 0.002979 0.004919 0.007750 0.011610 0.017130
2025-01-19 0.000844 0.001650 0.002904 0.004890 0.007829 0.011881 0.017733
2025-01-26 0.000769 0.001553 0.002801 0.004813 0.007833 0.012046 0.018189
2025-02-02 0.000713 0.001486 0.002742 0.004798 0.007925 0.012333 0.018816
2025-02-09 0.000656 0.001412 0.002666 0.004753 0.007968 0.012549 0.019347
2025-02-16 0.000634 0.001398 0.002686 0.004858 0.008237 0.013091 0.020340
2025-02-23 0.000571 0.001305 0.002571 0.004742 0.008169 0.013143 0.020641
2025-03-02 0.000533 0.001254 0.002524 0.004733 0.008260 0.013428 0.021275
2025-03-09 0.000528 0.001268 0.002588 0.004906 0.008636 0.014132 0.022520